Entry: Iran, N Korea- What War Means Thursday, October 12, 2006



PLANS previously drafted by the Pentagon predict 52,000 US military casualties and one million civilian dead in the first 90 days of conflict if America attacked Pyongyang.

The US leadership is looking at international economic and diplomatic sanctions against North Korea as its primary response to Monday's nuclear test.

But military contingencies are considered as a matter of course and analysts paint a horrific picture for even the most targeted of US strikes.

A report this week by US-based security and military analyst Stratfor predicts North Korea could return fire on Seoul with "several hundred thousand high-explosive rounds per hour" -- with up to 25 per cent of shells filled with nerve gas.

Other estimates say the US would need at least 500,000 ground troops to secure against a North invasion of the South.

"When US military planners have nightmares, they have nightmares about war with North Korea," the Stratfor analysis says.

Despite the risks, Washington-based Council on Foreign Relations expert Michael Levi, along with several Australian analysts, believe a North Korean nuclear test would increase the likelihood of a US military response.

Pentagon strategists continue to work on military contingencies but all scenarios forecast massive casualties and a high likelihood of escalating war.

When confronted with Pentagon drafts in 2004, US President George W. Bush was reported to have been horrified at the human cost. Updated Pentagon plans outlining bombing of North Korean nuclear sites, border artillery and troop emplacements call for:

FULL STORY HERE:  http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20565819-661,00.html#

 

US General: Strikes on Iran possible by 2007

US Air Force General reveals details of possible US aerial offensive against Iran should diplomacy fail to solve dispute over Tehran's nuclear ambition; says 'doing it alone' is not an option for Israel

Yitzhak Benhorin
Published:  10.12.06, 14:27

WASHINGTON - Is it possible to halt Iran's nuclear program by military means? For years, this question has been asked by Israeli and US military officials.

 

Israel prefers Washington to act on its behalf but academics, left-wing politicians and experts say a military option is not on the cards for the Bush administration because of the situation in Iraq.

 

But retired US Lieutenant General Thomas McInerney thinks otherwise. There is a good military solution to Iran's nukes but it requires courage and determination to act Mcinerney told Ynet in an interview.

 

McInerney served as a pilot and a strategic commander in the US Air Force for 35 years. Following his retirement in 1994 he served as a commentator for Fox News.

 

McInerney said Iran should be attacked by fall 2007 if diplomacy fails.

 

He added that an aerial attack should be backed by a secret land operation aimed at deposing the Ayatollahs.

 

McInerney said a military operation against Iran should aim at destroying 1,500 targets within 24 to 36 hours, which would delay Iran's nuclear ambitions by at least five years.

 

He added that paralyzing the Iranian air force and the Shihab 3 missiles aimed at Israel would be among the goals of a US military offensive against Iran.

 

He said the Iranian Navy should also be destroyed to prevent Tehran from blocking the Persian Gulf.

 

Overthrowing the Ayatollahs

The retired general estimates that such offensive would significantly destabilize the Ayatollah's regime.

 

Asked whether the exiled Iranian opposition is capable of governing Iran once the Ayatollahs are ousted, McInerney said the Iranian nation is divided and many citizens opposed to the Ayatollahs would attempt to take power.

 

Over 4,300 protests took place in Iran last year, he said.

 

He also noted that only 51 percent of Iranians are Persians while 49 percent belong to different ethnic groups.

 

He added that the Ayatollahs can be ousted if the US clandestinely supports opposition groups within Iran.

 

A US aerial attack against Iran would involve the following stages, says Mcinerney:

 

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/1,7340,L-3314171,00.html 

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