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Monday, October 12, 2009
al-Aqsa Mosque Standoff Ends

IRA splinter group renouncing violence in Ireland

IRA breakaway Irish National Liberation Army says it's renouncing violence, may disarm soon
 

The Irish National Liberation Army, an IRA splinter group responsible for some of the most notorious killings of the Northern Ireland conflict, renounced violence Sunday and signaled it could hand over weapons soon to disarmament officials.

http://wire.antiwar.com/2009/10/11/ira-splinter-group-renouncing-violence-in-ireland/

Speaking again on the unfolding scandal, UN Special Envoy to Afghanistan Kai Eide conceded today what everyone following the story has known for at least a month: that there was widespread fraud in August’s presidential election.

Kai EideEide followed up his admission by dismissing concerns about what, by all accounts, has been one of the most fraudulently run elections in history, insisting that the fact that the investigations hadn’t yet concluded proved that the “system is working.”

Eide’s role in the election fraud was brought to light following the firing of his chief assistant, Peter Galbraith. Galbraith says he was ordered by Eide to cover up the extent of the fraud, and claims Eide spoke with Afghan President Hamid Karzai to assure him of his support after the UN had uncovered evidence that up to a third of Karzai’s votes were actually fraudulent.

 

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/10/11/uns-afghan-chief-admits-widespread-fraud-in-vote/

Ethiopia appears to have launched yet another incursion into Somalia, with hundreds of Ethiopian soldiers pouring across the border into Central Somalia and rounding up villagers suspected of having ties to the insurgency.

Locals say the Ethiopian forces were accompanied by soldiers affiliated with the self-proclaimed Somali government and the forces cut off the communication lines in the villages.

Ethiopia previously launched an invasion of Somalia in 2006 with the blessing of the US government. The invasion was an attempt to prop up the Somali government, which at the time was struggling in the face of growing support for the Islamic Courts Union.

 

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/10/11/ethiopian-troops-pour-into-central-somalia/

Here’s the thing: This may be our next “Vietnam moment,” but Afghanistan is no Vietnam: there are no major enemy powers like the Soviet Union and China lurking in the background; no organized enemy state with a powerful army like North Vietnam supporting the insurgents; no well organized, unified national liberation movement like the Vietcong, and that’s just a beginning. Almost everywhere, in fact, the Vietnam analogy breaks down – almost everywhere, that is, except when it comes to us. Because we never managed to leave Vietnam behind, even when we were proclaiming that we had kicked that “syndrome,” it turns out that we’re still there. Our military leaders, for instance, only recently dusted off the old Vietnam-era counterinsurgency doctrine that once ended in catastrophe, shined it up, and are now presenting it as an ingenious new solution to war-fighting. Let’s face it: everything about American thinking still stinks of the Vietnamese debacle, including the inability of our leaders to listen to a genuinely wide range of options.

http://original.antiwar.com/engelhardt/2009/10/11/apocalypse-then-afghanistan-now/

Clashes between Israeli security forces and protesting Palestinians have subsided as several hundred Muslims agreed to evacuate Jerusalem’s al-Aqsa Mosque following a deal brokered by the Jordanian embassy in Tel Aviv Saturday.

But the Islamic Movement, whose members sought to take over the mosque, is at the center of intense controversy. In Israel, demands have risen for the arrest of Islamic Movement leader Sheikh Raed Salah.

Israeli police accuse Salah of waging a "religious war" and say he is guilty of "incitement and sedition."

Through weeks of unrest Salah encouraged Muslims to assemble in and around al-Aqsa to "protect it from Jewish Zealots." Busloads of his supporters from around the country arrived in the disputed city, and together with locals faced off with soldiers and police.

During the subsequent clashes Israeli soldiers and police arrested hundreds of Palestinians. Dozens of security forces and protesters were injured. The violence spread to several refugee camps and towns in the West Bank as thousands of Arabs joined solidarity demonstrations in Gaza, Syria, Egypt, and Jordan.

Muslim anger mounted as hundreds of Israeli extremists tried to enter the Haram compound, in which al-Aqsa Mosque is situated, to celebrate the Yom Kippur and Sukkot Jewish holidays. Some of the extremists want to destroy the mosque and build a third Jewish Temple on its remains.

This anger was exacerbated by West Bankers and Gazans being denied entry to Jerusalem to worship at the mosque. East Jerusalem males under 50 were also denied entrance to the mosque, while women of all ages were permitted to enter.

The standoff eased following intervention by the Jordanian ambassador in Tel Aviv. The Israeli authorities agreed to allow several hundred Muslims holed up in the mosque to leave and dropped arrest warrants against them. The authorities also promised that Muslims would be allowed free access to al-Aqsa.  http://original.antiwar.com/frykberg/2009/10/11/muslims-see-victory-at-al-aqsa/

Posted at 12:39 am by Psychomike
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
The Nobel War Prize

The Nobel War Prize

Posted By Paul Craig Roberts On October 9, 2009 @ 11:00 pm

It took 25 years longer than George Orwell thought for the slogans of 1984 to become reality.

"War Is Peace," "Freedom Is Slavery," "Ignorance Is Strength."

I would add, "Lie Is Truth."

The Nobel Committee has awarded the 2009 Peace Prize to President Obama, the person who started a new war in Pakistan, upped the war in Afghanistan, and continues to threaten Iran with attack unless Iran does what the US government demands and relinquishes its rights as a signatory to the non-proliferation treaty.

The Nobel committee chairman, Thorbjřrn Jagland said, "Only very rarely has a person to the same extent as Obama captured the world’s attention and given its people hope for a better future."

Obama, the committee gushed, has created "a new climate in international politics."

Tell that to the 2 million displaced Pakistanis and the unknown numbers of dead ones that Obama has racked up in his few months in office. Tell that to the Afghans where civilian deaths continue to mount as Obama’s "war of necessity" drones on indeterminably.

No Bush policy has changed. Iraq is still occupied. The Guantánamo torture prison is still functioning. Rendition and assassinations are still occurring. Spying on Americans without warrants is still the order of the day. Civil liberties are continuing to be violated in the name of Oceania’s "war on terror."

Apparently, the Nobel committee is suffering from the delusion that, being a minority, Obama is going to put a stop to Western hegemony over darker-skinned peoples.

The non-cynical can say that the Nobel committee is seizing on Obama’s rhetoric to lock him into the pursuit of peace instead of war. We can all hope that it works. But the more likely result is that the award has made "War Is Peace" the reality.

Obama has done nothing to hold the criminal Bush regime to account, and the Obama administration has bribed and threatened the Palestinian Authority to go along with the US/Israeli plan to deep-six the UN’s Goldstone Report on Israeli war crimes committed during Israel’s inhuman military attack on the defenseless civilian population in the Gaza Ghetto.

The US Ministry of Truth is delivering the Obama administration’s propaganda that Iran only notified the IAEA of its "secret" new nuclear facility because Iran discovered that US intelligence had discovered the "secret" facility. This propaganda is designed to undercut the fact of Iran’s compliance with the Safeguards Agreement and to continue the momentum for a military attack on Iran.

The Nobel committee has placed all its hopes on a bit of skin color.

"War Is Peace" is now the position of the formerly antiwar organization, Code Pink. Code Pink has decided that women’s rights are worth a war in Afghanistan.

When justifications for war become almost endless — oil, hegemony, women’s rights, democracy, revenge for 9/11, denying bases to al-Qaeda, and protecting against terrorists — war becomes the path to peace.

The Nobel committee has bestowed the prestige of its Peace Prize on Newspeak and Doublethink.

Posted at 05:34 am by Psychomike
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Friday, October 09, 2009
Why Obama Won Peace Prize

14 MORE YEARS IN AFGHANISTAN, SOLDIERS QUIETLY SENT TO GITMO FOR A YEAR, PATRIOT ACT EXPANDED AND RENEWED,  TALIBAN OFFERED MAJORITY OF AFGHANISTAN SO OVER 100,000 TROOPS CAN FIGHT LESS THAN 100 FOR 14 YEARS. WAIT, HUH?
 
The committee approved renewing measures that include allowing broad warrants to be issued by a secretive court for any type of record, from financial to medical, without the government having to declare that the information sought is connected to a terrorism or espionage investigation. A proposal that would put limits on such requests was defeated.

Many senators said they’d been privately briefed by intelligence officials who were worried that adding constitutional protections for Americans could place them in harm’s way

 
CNN IN SHOCK, WHY DID OBAMA WIN PEACE PRIZE?
 
According to top officials, President Obama’s latest thinking in the Afghan War is that the US will eventaully have to back off of its emphasis on destroying the Taliban and allow the group to become involved in the political process.

The strategy then would be to officially rule out the Taliban’s “return to power” at least on the central government level while ceding much of the nation to them. In return the groups gaining control over the regions would stop fighting against the central government and the ongoing NATO occupation.

The US would add an unknown number of additional troops and focus on “fighting al-Qaeda,” which would seem kind of silly since James Jones insisted only last weekend that al-Qaeda has at most 100 people inside Afghanistan.

What’s curious is that this strategy of focusing on al-Qaeda while trimming back expectations that it will ever be able to defeat the Taliban is essentially the “Biden Option,” which President Obama publicly ruled out just yesterday. It seems that the president is having a hard time making up his mind on exactly which escalation to go with, and is just bouncing back and forth between them.
 
Stunned Americans learned on 60 Minutes that we have at least 14 more years of war in Afghanistan to go.
 
The Puerto Rican National Guard is heading home soon and soldiers from their Virgin Islands and Rhode Island counterparts are mobilizing for yearlong tours at the detention center President Barack Obama said he would shut in January.

Posted at 06:24 am by Psychomike
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
The GOP's Hidden Strength

Is it time to put liberalism on trial? The Republican Party has not noticed that there are a lot of people here from former Soviet colonies. They are still angry that they were turned over to Stalin. That 50 million died in the gulags, while liberals here cheered. That women in concentration camps liberated by Russians were raped. That little girls were raped by Russians with U.S. approval as the Russians "liberated" the camps. For the GOP to survive it must connect with the Eastern Europens here now. It must force liberals to explain why they supported and still support such actions. (Anyone who is anti-Joe McCarthy obviously supports what the Russians did).
 
Czy to czas na liberalizm na rozprawie? Partia Republikańska, nie zauważyłem, że wiele ludzi z byłego Związku Radzieckiego kolonii. Są one nadal zły, że zostały one oddane Stalinowi. To 50 mln zginęło w gułagu, a liberałowie tutaj otuchy. Że kobiety w obozach koncentracyjnych wyzwolony przez Rosjan zostały zgwałcone. Że małe dziewczynki były gwałcone przez Rosjan za zgodą Stanów Zjednoczonych Rosjan "wyzwolonej" obozów. W GOP przetrwać musi łączyć się z Eastern Europens tutaj. Należy życie liberałów do wyjaśnienia, dlaczego poparli i nadal wspierać takie działania. (Kto jest anty-Joe McCarthy oczywiście popiera to, co Rosjanie).
 
Ideje, hogy terjesszen a liberalizmus bíróság elé? Az Republikánus Párt nem vette észre, hogy van egy csomó ember van a volt szovjet gyarmatokon. , Hogy még mindig dühös, hogy átadták Sztálinnak. Ez a 50 millió halt meg a gulags, míg a liberálisok itt éljeneztek. , Hogy a nők a koncentrációs táborokat felszabadították oroszok megerőszakolták. Az a kis lány megerőszakolta oroszok az Egyesült Államok jóváhagyásával, mint az oroszok "felszabadították" a táborokban. A GOP a túlélésre kell csatlakoztatni a kelet Europens most. Meg kell erő liberálisok megmagyarázni, hogy miért támogatta és továbbra is támogatja az ilyen intézkedéseket. (Aki anti-Joe McCarthy nyilván támogatja, amit az oroszok nem).
 
Eikö olisi aika laittaa liberalismin syytteeseen? Republikaaninen puolue ei ole huomannut, että on olemassa paljon ihmisiä täällä entisen Neuvostoliiton siirtomaita. Ne ovat edelleen vihaisia siitä, että ne käännetään Stalinin. Että 50 miljoonaa kuoli vankileireillä, kun liberaaleista piristi. Että naiset keskitysleireillä vapauttivat venäläisten raiskattiin. Että pieniä tyttöjä raiskattiin venäläisten kanssa USA: n hyväksynnän, koska venäläiset "vapauttivat" leirejä. Jotta GOP hengissä on yhteyden Itä Europens nyt täällä. Se on voimassa liberaalit selittää, miksi he tukevat ja edelleen tukea tällaisia toimia. (Jokainen, joka on anti-Joe McCarthy tietysti kannattaa, mitä venäläiset tekivät).
 
Ar ne laikas įvesti liberalizmas į teismą? Respublikonų partijos nebuvo pastebėta, kad yra žmonių, čia iš buvusių sovietinių kolonijų aikštelė. Jie vis dar pyksta, kad jie pasirodė per Stalinui. Tai 50 mln žuvo gulaguose, o Liberalų čia plojo. Moterys koncentracijos stovyklos išlaisvinimo rusai buvo išprievartautos. Kad mergaitės buvo prievartaujamos rusai su JAV patvirtinimą, kaip rusai "išvadavo" stovyklos. Dėl GOP išgyventi ji turi ryšį su Rytų Europens čia dabar. Jis turi galioti Liberalų paaiškinti, kodėl jie rėmė ir toliau remti tokius veiksmus. (Bet kas yra anti-Joe McCarthy akivaizdžiai palaiko ką rusai padarė).
Чи не час покласти лібералізм під суд? Республіканська партія не помітив, що є тут багато народу з колишніх радянських колоній. Вони як і раніше незадоволені тим, що вони були передані Сталіним. Що 50 мільйонів осіб загинуло в таборах, у той час як ліберали тут повеселішав. Що жінки в концентраційних таборах звільнені росіянами було згвалтовано. Що маленькі дівчинки було згвалтовано руських з США затвердження в якості російських "звільнених" табору. Для ГОП, щоб вижити він повинен з'єднатися зі східною Europens зараз тут. Це має змусити лібералів пояснити, чому вони підтримують і досі підтримують такі дії. (Хто є анти-Джо Маккарті, очевидно, підтримує те, що зробила Росія).

Posted at 10:36 pm by Psychomike
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
U.S. Plans To Bomb Iran!

ABC NEWS POSTS PLANS FOR ATTACK ON IRAN!

DEVELOPING:

 

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-preparing-bomb-iran/story?id=8765343#

Posted at 11:58 am by Psychomike
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Tuesday, October 06, 2009
White House In Crisis

A WHITE HOUSE IN CRISIS
 
 Penn Jillette takes on a liberal on Larry King.
 
The end of the Progressive movement. Not only is Obama destroying causes that existed before he came along, but it will be a long time before a liberal gets in the White House again. If Democrats don't speak up, it will be the most incredible self suicide in American political history. If they have a Ron Paul, that person had better speak up soon......
Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) is interviewed in Montepelier, Vt.
'We are all in danger all the time until the ink is dry,' said Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.).

When it comes to health care, does the House even matter?

With the media following every turn of the Senate negotiations, some House Democrats have started to ask themselves whether all of the work crafting a House bill will even make a difference in the end, or whether they'll simply get steamrolled by a White House so eager for a compromise that the president will just use the Senate bill as the template.

Right now, the answer isn't encouraging

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1009/27949.html##ixzz0TAzg1zxg
The Dalai Lama appears at an event.
This week will mark the first time since 1991 that the Dalai Lama has come to Washington and not met with the U.S. president.

When it comes to the White House's decision not to have President Barack Obama meet with the Dalai Lama during his visit to Washington this week, some are seeing an $800 billion elephant in the room.

That, of course, is the amount of U.S. Treasury debt held by the Chinese government. That makes China the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, and the country's willingness to buy more is essential to the ability of the United States to finance its deficit spending.

And naturally, the Chinese do not want the new American president to meet with — and lend credibility to — the Dalai Lama, who is a longtime adversary of the Chinese government.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1009/27942.html##ixzz0TB1LKEXi

Growing opposition to the US attempts to expand its influence in Pakistan is taking shape in the form of increasing resistance to plans by Pakistan's military and increasingly its civilian government as well.

America's fortress-like Islamabad embassy

Nowhere has American power been more visible than the massive expansion of the embassy in Islamabad, sparking protests against the site that will some day hold Ambassador Anne Patterson, a contentious figure in her own right who has been threatening US military attacks against the city of Quetta if Pakistan doesn't give in to demands to launch action of its own.

Then last week the US Congress pressed through with overwhelming support a bill to triple aid to Pakistan as part of a "strategic partnership." The bill was enthusiastically supported by President Obama and was described as expanding America's commitment to the nation over the next decade.

Less enamored with the bill was Pakistan's government and particularly its military

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/10/05/pakistan-resists-expanded-us-influence/#

Pakistan readies for new assault on Bin Laden lair

Suicide bombers show their resilience with daring attack on UN offices in Islamabad as 28,000 troops mass for imminent strike in the mountains of South Waziristan

IN WHAT is likely to be its sternest challenge yet, Pakistan's military is poised to launch a major offensive in the coming days against militants in the remote mountainous terrain of South Waziristan, long rumoured to be the hiding place of Osama bin Laden.

After months of preparation that has involved massing 28,000 troops near the tribal area on the Afghan border, and after weeks of air strikes designed to soften up militant positions, senior military sources in Islamabad told The Independent that the long-awaited operation was imminent. The US has also increased drone strikes in the region to target key figures.

The operation to take on the 10,000-strong Mehsud network, formerly headed by Baitullah Mehsud, comes amid heavy pressure on Pakistan from Washington to continue its fight against militants, many of whom are involved in cross-border attacks on Western troops in Afghanistan.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/pakistan-readies-for-new-assault-on-bin-laden-lair-1798190.html

Posted at 12:50 pm by Psychomike
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Monday, October 05, 2009
The End Of The Dollar

This is going to have devastating financial repercussions. You don't have to read here any more, I'll post the following for the Pres and his Chicago advisers. Nothing to read here, click on the link below for the story. Peace out! Hello Mr Pres and your Chicago team, get your god damn attention off money making schemes and act on these talks right goddamn now . Save the dollar or all your plans and dreams go down the toilet and what Americans have gone through so far will be nothing like what is to come. Get some speed, stay up all night, start making calls, do whatever you can to stop this. Right now! Have a nice day......
Iran announced late last month that its foreign currency reserves would henceforth be held in euros rather than dollars.

Exclusive report by Robert Fisk

The demise of the dollar

In a graphic illustration of the new world order, Arab states have launched secret moves with China, Russia and France to stop using the US currency for oil trading

By Robert Fisk

In the most profound financial change in recent Middle East history, Gulf Arabs are planning – along with China, Russia, Japan and France – to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Co-operation Council, including Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar.

Secret meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme, which will mean that oil will no longer be priced in dollars.

The plans, confirmed to The Independent by both Gulf Arab and Chinese banking sources in Hong Kong, may help to explain the sudden rise in gold prices, but it also augurs an extraordinary transition from dollar markets within nine years.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/the-demise-of-the-dollar-1798175.html

Posted at 09:47 pm by Psychomike
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Saturday, October 03, 2009
10 Iran Myths

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute
Top Things you Think You Know about Iran that are not True
 
I thought I'd take the opportunity to list some things that people tend to think they know about Iran, but for which the evidence is shaky.

Belief: Iran is aggressive and has threatened to attack Israel, its neighbors or the US

Reality: Iran has not launched an aggressive war modern history (unlike the US or Israel), and its leaders have a doctrine of "no first strike." This is true of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as well as of Revolutionary Guards commanders.

Belief: Iran is a militarized society bristling with dangerous weapons and a growing threat to world peace.

Reality: Iran's military budget is a little over $6 billion annually. Sweden, Singapore and Greece all have larger military budgets. Moreover, Iran is a country of 70 million, so that its per capita spending on defense is tiny compared to these others, since they are much smaller countries with regard to population. Iran spends less per capita on its military than any other country in the Persian Gulf region with the exception of the United Arab Emirates.


Belief: Iran has threatened to attack Israel militarily and to "wipe it off the map."

Reality: No Iranian leader in the executive has threatened an aggressive act of war on Israel, since this would contradict the doctrine of 'no first strike' to which the country has adhered. The Iranian president has explicitly said that Iran is not a threat to any country, including Israel.

Belief: But didn't President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad threaten to 'wipe Israel off the map?'

Reality: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad did quote Ayatollah Khomeini to the effect that "this Occupation regime over Jerusalem must vanish from the page of time" (in rezhim-e eshghalgar-i Qods bayad as safheh-e ruzgar mahv shavad). This was not a pledge to roll tanks and invade or to launch missiles, however. It is the expression of a hope that the regime will collapse, just as the Soviet Union did. It is not a threat to kill anyone at all.

Belief: But aren't Iranians Holocaust deniers?

Actuality: Some are, some aren't. Former president Mohammad Khatami has castigated Ahmadinejad for questioning the full extent of the Holocaust, which he called "the crime of Nazism." Many educated Iranians in the regime are perfectly aware of the horrors of the Holocaust. In any case, despite what propagandists imply, neither Holocaust denial (as wicked as that is) nor calling Israel names is the same thing as pledging to attack it militarily.

Belief: Iran is like North Korea in having an active nuclear weapons program, and is the same sort of threat to the world.

Actuality: Iran has a nuclear enrichment site at Natanz near Isfahan where it says it is trying to produce fuel for future civilian nuclear reactors to generate electricity. All Iranian leaders deny that this site is for weapons production, and the International Atomic Energy Agency has repeatedly inspected it and found no weapons program. Iran is not being completely transparent, generating some doubts, but all the evidence the IAEA and the CIA can gather points to there not being a weapons program. The 2007 National Intelligence Estimate by 16 US intelligence agencies, including the CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency, assessed with fair confidence that Iran has no nuclear weapons research program. This assessment was based on debriefings of defecting nuclear scientists, as well as on the documents they brought out, in addition to US signals intelligence from Iran. While Germany, Israel and recently the UK intelligence is more suspicious of Iranian intentions, all of them were badly wrong about Iraq's alleged Weapons of Mass Destruction and Germany in particular was taken in by Curveball, a drunk Iraqi braggart.

Belief: The West recently discovered a secret Iranian nuclear weapons plant in a mountain near Qom.

Actuality: Iran announced Monday a week ago to the International Atomic Energy Agency that it had begun work on a second, civilian nuclear enrichment facility near Qom. There are no nuclear materials at the site and it has not gone hot, so technically Iran is not in violation of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, though it did break its word to the IAEA that it would immediately inform the UN of any work on a new facility. Iran has pledged to allow the site to be inspected regularly by the IAEA, and if it honors the pledge, as it largely has at the Natanz plant, then Iran cannot produce nuclear weapons at the site, since that would be detected by the inspectors. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton admitted on Sunday that Iran could not produce nuclear weapons at Natanz precisely because it is being inspected. Yet American hawks have repeatedly demanded a strike on Natanz.


Belief: The world should sanction Iran not only because of its nuclear enrichment research program but also because the current regime stole June's presidential election and brutally repressed the subsequent demonstrations.

Actuality: Iran's reform movement is dead set against increased sanctions on Iran, which likely would not affect the regime, and would harm ordinary Iranians.

Belief: Isn't the Iranian regime irrational and crazed, so that a doctrine of mutally assured destruction just would not work with them?

Actuality: Iranian politicians are rational actors. If they were madmen, why haven't they invaded any of their neighbors? Saddam Hussein of Iraq invaded both Iran and Kuwait. Israel invaded its neighbors more than once. In contrast, Iran has not started any wars. Demonizing people by calling them unbalanced is an old propaganda trick. The US elite was once unalterably opposed to China having nuclear science because they believed the Chinese are intrinsically irrational. This kind of talk is a form of racism.

Belief: The international community would not have put sanctions on Iran, and would not be so worried, if it were not a gathering nuclear threat.

Actuality: The centrifuge technology that Iran is using to enrich uranium is open-ended. In the old days, you could tell which countries might want a nuclear bomb by whether they were building light water reactors (unsuitable for bomb-making) or heavy-water reactors (could be used to make a bomb). But with centrifuges, once you can enrich to 5% to fuel a civilian reactor, you could theoretically feed the material back through many times and enrich to 90% for a bomb. However, as long as centrifuge plants are being actively inspected, they cannot be used to make a bomb. The two danger signals would be if Iran threw out the inspectors or if it found a way to create a secret facility. The latter task would be extremely difficult, however, as demonstrated by the CIA's discovery of the Qom facility construction in 2006 from satellite photos. Nuclear installations, especially centrifuge ones, consume a great deal of water, construction materiel, and so forth, so that constructing one in secret is a tall order. In any case, you can't attack and destroy a country because you have an intuition that they might be doing something illegal. You need some kind of proof. Moreover, Israel, Pakistan and India are all much worse citizens of the globe than Iran, since they refused to sign the NPT and then went for broke to get a bomb; and nothing at all has been done to any of them by the UNSC.


http://www.juancole.com/2009/10/top-things-you-think-you-know-about.html

Posted at 11:09 am by Psychomike
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Wednesday, September 30, 2009
My Talk On Afghanistan

 

While there were only 50 to 60 people at my talk on Afghanistan, the smallest crowd I've ever spoken in front of, the talk was well recieved and you can watch it here. There is also counterpoints and questions from the audience.
 
Follow them in order of 1 through 5:
http://www.motionbox.com/filings?folder_id=75489865

Posted at 11:23 pm by Psychomike
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Monday, September 28, 2009
Troops To Pakistan?

GROUND TROOP ASSAULT THREATENED ON PAKISTAN, GENERAL SAYS PENTAGON BUREAUCRACY BLOCKING AFGHAN MOVES, JOHN KERRY ON AFGHANISTAN LACK OF STRATEGY

President Obama to go to Copenhagen and lobby for Chicago to get Olympics.

 I guess the President is too busy with the Olympics........
Asked how often he talks to the president, McChrystal said, "I've talked to the president since I've been here once on a VTC." "You talked to him once in 70 days?Martin asked. "That's correct," McChrystal replied.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/09/24/60minutes/main5335445.shtml

SAUDIS WILL LET ISRAEL BOMB IRAN NUCLEAR SITE

 

INTELLIGENCE chief Sir John Scarlett has been told that Saudi Arabia is ready to allow Israel to bomb Iran’s new nuclear site.

The head of MI6 discussed the issue in London with Mossad chief Meir Dagan and Saudi officials after British intelligence officers helped to uncover the plant, in the side of a mountain near the ancient city of Qom.

The site is seen as a major threat by Tel Aviv and Riyadh. Details of the talks emerged after John Bolton, America’s former UN ambassador, told a meeting of intelligence analysts that “Riyadh certainly approves” of Israel’s use of Saudi airspace.

The scene is set for a showdown next Thursday when Iranian officials meet representatives of the E3+3 group of Britain, France, Germany, the US, Russia and China in Geneva.

Significantly, Russia, which has previously resisted pressure for sanctions, said it also found the latest disclosures “disturbing”.

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/130251/Saudis-will-let-Israel-bomb-Iran-nuclear-site#

Clinton: Nothing Iran Can Do to

 Convince US Nuclear

 Program Is Peaceful

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham

 Clinton says she

 doesn't believe Iran can convince the

 U.S. and other

 world powers that its nuclear

 program is for peaceful

 purposes, putting Tehran on course for tougher

 economic penalties beyond the current "leaky

 sanctions."

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/09/27/clinton-nothing-iran-can-do-to-convince-us-nuclear-program-is-peaceful/#

A move that has long been debated by the Obama Administration could soon become reality, as officials say the State Department delivered an ultimatum to Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari during his visit last week cautioning that if he doesn’t move against the Taliban forces in the city of Quetta the US will.

Such attacks would be a major escalation of the unpopular US drone strikes against the nation, so far confined to the area in and around the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). Quetta, a city of three quarters of a million people, is the capital of Pakistan’s largest province, Balochistan.

The Pakistani government has been reluctant to move against the city, which has reportedly become a hiding point for much of the former Afghan government, citing both the lack of threat posed to the Pakistani government and the lack of intelligence provided by the US about exactly where to act.

In fact, the attack on Quetta may turn out to be even more than lobbing a few missiles, as reportedly officials have discussed sending ground forces into the town to “capture or kill” any Taliban they find.

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/09/27/us-threatening-to-attack-major-pakistani-city-of-quetta/#

During an interview broadcast today on CBS’ “60 minutes,” General Stanley McChrystal blamed the inefficiencies of the Pentagon’s bureaucracy for hampering his efforts in the war and has urged them to act with more urgency.

Gen. Stanley McChrystal

The secretary (of Defense Robert Gates) talks in terms of 12 to 18 months to show a significant change and then we eat up two or three months just on sort of getting the tools out of the tool box,” McChrystal complained.

Gen. McChrystal took charge of the Afghan war in June, inheriting an eight year old war with record violence. Since then, things have continued to worsen with new records for casualties set every single month on McChrystal’s watch.

The general is now pressing for his “new” strategy, which is the addition of another 45,000 US troops to the 68,000 already committed by the Obama Administration. Though McChrystal has accepted that some debate could take place on his call, he has cautioned that the debate must be limited and that he needs the troops in short order or the war will be lost.

http://news.antiwar.com/2009/09/27/gen-mcchrystal-claims-bureaucracy-holding-him-back/#

President Barack Obama will travel to Copenhagen, Denmark, to lobby for Chicago's bid to host the 2016 Olympics, the White House announced Monday. The U.S. delegation will be headed by First Lady Michelle Obama. The president will leave for Copenhagen late Thursday and make a plea to the International Olympic Committee on Friday.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/obama-to-go-to-denmark-to-back-chicago-olympic-bid-2009-09-28-837580

Before we send more of our young men and women to this war, we need a fuller debate about what constitutes success in Afghanistan. We need a clearer understanding of what constitutes the right strategy to get us there. Ultimately, we need to understa...nd, as Gen. Colin Powell was fond of asking, "What's the exit strategy?" Or as Gen. David Petraeus asked of Iraq, "How does it end?" Why? Because one of the lessons from Vietnam—applied in the first Gulf War and sadly forgotten for too long in Iraq—is that we should not commit troops to the battlefield without a clear understanding of what we expect them to accomplish. JOHN KERRY

Posted at 11:51 am by Psychomike
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